French inflation refuses to decelerate in March

The preliminary readings of March inflation from Eurozone member states have been the most important headlines fx market-wise yesterday. In case of Spain and Germany the principle year-on-year inflation measure decelerated by zero.7 share factors.

In relation to France there was no such deceleration happening. In actual fact the harmonized measure has not slowed down in any respect in March and remains to be 1.four% YoY, whereas the nationwide measure (CPI) went from 1.2 to 1.1% YoY. Observe nevertheless that France underperformed on this respect in February.

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 The nation inflation paths are converging and point out moderation of EMU measure; supply: Macrobond, Noble-Trading Analysis

The French publication can also be made much less upbeat by shopper spending slowing down from 1.7% YoY to simply zero.5% whereas 1.1% was anticipated. In MoM phrases it means a decline by zero.eight% as a substitute of an increase by zero.1%.

One of many primary occasions on the information entrance at present needs to be the 10 am DST launch of March flash Eurozone inflation, however it’s normally nicely flagged by the nation releases like this one. The euro has already priced in a nasty print and no damaging shock in HICP for France gained’t change that. Naked in thoughts the USA can also be releasing its primary inflation measure later at present.

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 EURUSD now pausing on the stage of mid-February peak and technically appears nonetheless susceptible;